Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.402324 0.440441 0.481159 0.527992 0.580492 0.637667 0.704830
2026-01-11 0.341334 0.394725 0.455711 0.530955 0.621874 0.728922 0.865586
2026-01-18 0.305024 0.365861 0.438557 0.532685 0.652586 0.801907 1.004625
2026-01-25 0.280247 0.346060 0.427601 0.537417 0.683549 0.874354 1.147461
2026-02-01 0.254561 0.321746 0.407450 0.526637 0.691075 0.914482 1.249023
2026-02-08 0.238582 0.308030 0.399023 0.529396 0.715475 0.978020 1.388715
2026-02-15 0.222736 0.292903 0.386999 0.525386 0.728936 1.026034 1.509618
2026-02-22 0.211087 0.282393 0.380127 0.527471 0.750525 1.086953 1.656328
2026-03-01 0.198272 0.269229 0.368349 0.521067 0.758228 1.126590 1.772440
2026-03-08 0.186479 0.256659 0.356405 0.513180 0.762453 1.160383 1.881766
2026-03-15 0.173677 0.241807 0.340081 0.497216 0.752218 1.169167 1.947661
2026-03-22 0.168907 0.238407 0.340445 0.506996 0.784048 1.250502 2.153764
2026-03-29 0.163392 0.233666 0.338605 0.513342 0.811113 1.327107 2.363294
2026-04-05 0.157459 0.227942 0.334872 0.516292 0.832594 1.396001 2.567889
2026-04-12 0.151731 0.222174 0.330642 0.517964 0.851743 1.462230 2.776238
2026-04-19 0.147076 0.217795 0.328302 0.522537 0.876267 1.540786 3.022024
2026-04-26 0.139689 0.208683 0.317744 0.512119 0.872277 1.563498 3.148432
2026-05-03 0.135431 0.204370 0.314796 0.514785 0.892863 1.636866 3.400831
2026-05-10 0.130224 0.198244 0.308464 0.510909 0.900481 1.684377 3.599694
2026-05-17 0.126447 0.194274 0.305524 0.512924 0.919633 1.757781 3.873480
2026-05-24 0.121465 0.188061 0.298413 0.506734 0.921835 1.794892 4.061536
2026-05-31 0.116549 0.181744 0.290804 0.499111 0.920461 1.823895 4.233133
2026-06-07 0.110635 0.173495 0.279438 0.483676 0.901754 1.812079 4.292716